Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.094583 0.105904 0.118517 0.133701 0.151603 0.172188 0.197866
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.079904 0.095474 0.114445 0.139649 0.172866 0.216052 0.278024
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.069321 0.087006 0.110098 0.143325 0.191455 0.261318 0.375991
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.061369 0.080053 0.105832 0.145452 0.207708 0.307536 0.494028
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.054889 0.073830 0.101152 0.145508 0.220258 0.351345 0.628425
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.049347 0.068027 0.095966 0.143434 0.228372 0.389688 0.772737
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.046050 0.065026 0.094437 0.146754 0.246377 0.452553 1.011707
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.042159 0.060607 0.089980 0.144106 0.252348 0.492632 1.223645
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.039627 0.058021 0.088129 0.145701 0.267051 0.558230 1.572249
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.036991 0.054975 0.085092 0.144485 0.275420 0.611922 1.941983
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035253 0.053232 0.084082 0.146999 0.292799 0.698262 2.570152
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033798 0.051815 0.083464 0.150162 0.312624 0.802911 3.495284
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031979 0.049643 0.081283 0.149830 0.324113 0.889803 4.561196
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030628 0.048182 0.080286 0.151961 0.343060 1.017379 6.409985
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029394 0.046825 0.079341 0.154057 0.362784 1.164855 9.282938
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028208 0.045454 0.078216 0.155550 0.381399 1.325603 13.723311
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026954 0.043858 0.076470 0.155257 0.394497 1.474474 19.981672
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025617 0.042007 0.074027 0.152851 0.400035 1.591308 27.919404
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024912 0.041307 0.073914 0.156404 0.427673 1.872827 52.129719
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023726 0.039596 0.071491 0.153495 0.430993 2.004817 78.486442
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022996 0.038727 0.070812 0.155220 0.452885 2.306564 167.336817
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.022088 0.037448 0.069122 0.153893 0.462382 2.530913 341.722547
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021533 0.036838 0.068869 0.156627 0.490228 2.979356 1434.914107